DHL Hong Kong Air Trade Leading Index ("DTI") is a quarterly survey implemented by Hong Kong Productivity Council ("HKPC"), and commissioned by DHL Express (Hong Kong) Limited ("DHL").

DTI is the first-of-its-kind in Hong Kong, offering publicly available market intelligence for local enterprises, especially SMEs which typically have limited resources or access to information, enabling all to take reference from a comprehensive business review of the sector in which they operate.

The Overall Index represents the air trade market outlook for the surveying quarter, in respect of import and (re-)export. The research also studies the underlying trends in business attributes, markets and air-freighted commodities, thus assisting local enterprises in arriving at a primed view of the business outlook of their markets.

 

DTI - Second Quarter of 2017

Release Date: Apr 28, 2017

DHL Hong Kong Air Trade Leading Index (DTI) 

Q2 2017 saw rising optimism in general among local air traders. Despite the disappointing results for the same period in 2016 - and the momentary dip of confidence for Q1 2017 due to increased uncertainly stemmed from the election of Donald Trump - it is expected that Q2 2017 will continue on the road to recovery, bolstered not least by growing confidence in the European markets.

  1. Expectations for the second quarter of 2017 indicate that recovery is gaining traction, with well-balanced improvements expected across the gamut of sectors.

  2. Following on from the downward adjustment witnessed in the first quarter of the year, Q2 2017 will see confidence in air trade begin to strengthen. The DTI score is up 5.0 points from Q1 2017 to 46.8, which represents one of the greatest positive movements in the past seven quarters, and is at its highest since Q4 2015.

  3. Air exports has been catching up with air imports as the gap between the two index scores continues to narrow in recent quarters thanks to growing confidence.

  4. Improving stability in the European markets has led to a more positive outlook for the second quarter, and sentiment in air imports and air exports has strengthened considerably. The index score for Europe reached 50 points, which outperformed other markets and indicates sustained confidence.

  5. Mr Gordon Lo, Director (Business Management) of Hong Kong Productivity Council, said, "Most of the index have gone up and the sentiment is becoming positive, even better than the performance one year ago. However, enterprises should note the variation of index changes in different markets and air-freighted commodities. Index related to online B2C business continued to fair well with steady performance. In the new financial year, enterprises are advised to study the application of new technologies and address the needs of target customers, in order to develop or enhance related online business."

Download the latest report of DTI (PDF version) (Text-only version). Survey results of the third quarter of 2017 will be released in Jul 2017. 

Download of DTI Quarterly Report

Quarter

Release Date

DTI - Second Quarter of 2017 (PDF version)
DTI - Second Quarter of 2017 (Text-only version)
Apr 28, 2017
DTI - First Quarter of 2017 (PDF version)
DTI - First Quarter of 2017 (Text-only version)
Jan 25, 2017
DTI - Fourth Quarter of 2016 (PDF version)
DTI - Fourth Quarter of 2016 (Text-only version)
Nov 11, 2016
DTI - Third Quarter of 2016 (PDF version)
DTI - Third Quarter of 2016 (Text-only version)
Aug 8, 2016
DTI - Second Quarter of 2016 (PDF version)
DTI - Second Quarter of 2016 (Text-only version)
May 13, 2016

DTI - First Quarter of 2016 (PDF version)
DTI - First Quarter of 2016 (Text-only version)

Feb 19, 2016

DTI - Fourth Quarter of 2015 (PDF version)
DTI - Fourth Quarter of 2015 (Text-only version)

Nov 16, 2015

DTI - Third Quarter of 2015 (PDF version)
DTI - Third Quarter of 2015 (Text-only version)

Aug 11, 2015

DTI - Second Quarter of 2015 (PDF version)
DTI - Second Quarter of 2015 (Text-only version)

May 7, 2015

DTI - First Quarter of 2015 (PDF version)
DTI - First Quarter of 2015 (Text-only version)

Feb 6, 2015

DTI - Final Quarter of 2014 (PDF version)
DTI - Final Quarter of 2014 (Text-only version)

Nov 12, 2014

 

Methodology

Methodology

Index Calculation: Index = [100 x (Percentage of samples responding "Positive") ] + [50 x (Percentage of samples responding "Neutral") ] + [0 x (Percentage of samples responding "Negative") ]

 

Readings

Readings

  • Ratios of collected responses are used to form the indices.
  • An index value above 50 indicates an overall positive outlook while a reading below 50 represents an overall negative outlook for the surveyed quarter.
  • The further the reading is from 50, the more positive or negative the outlook is.

 

Demographics

  • Respondents are Hong Kong-based companies associated with either inbound or outbound air trade. It includes Watches, Clocks & Jewellery, Apparel & Clothing Accessories, Electronics Products & parts, Gifts, Toys & Houseware, Food & Beverage and Others (including courier service and other items which do not belong to the categories listed above).
  • Over 600 samples are collected in each quarter.
  • Sample companies are randomly selected from publicly available directories.

 

Disclaimer

This report contains survey result based on research findings.  HKPC will not be liable for any loss, mistake, delay, action or non-action by viewers of this report.

 

Enquiry

For more details about the Index, please contact Mr. Eric Cheung at tel. (852) 2788 6008 or email: This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it..